Microsoft’s Longhorn Refined

Depending on one’s point of view, there is disappoint or a certain heightened sense of opportunity in the air at the news of Microsoft’s now official delay of its Longhorn version of Windows, now not expected until late 2006 (client) and 2007 (server).  The feature set of the operating system has also been redefined, to help insure even that belated entry date, with the removal of the new and highly anticipated Windows File System (WinFS), now moved into 2007 or later.

Some features of Longhorn have actually been extended to additional platforms.  Avalon (the new presentation software) and Indigo (the set of .NET communications and connection infrastructure built on web services to provide secure, reliable, and transacted messaging and interoperability) will now be supported on Windows XP and Windows Server 2003, at about the time Longhorn itself ships.

Was this the right thing to do?  It’s impossible to tell.  Reaction has been mixed.

  • There’s disappointment from developers who needed features in Longhorn to ship new versions of their software.  They’ll have to wait.  This is particularly frustrating for those who were counting on WinFS.  The wait is longer.

  • On the other hand, the Avalon and Indigo audience will be significantly larger, so some developers may find themselves with a larger market sooner than expected.

  • Wintel hardware vendors are worried.  With no new operating system from Microsoft over a five-year period they’re pretty sure they’ll sell fewer boxes.  Bad news.

  • Some have chosen to use this occasion to take pot shots at Microsoft’s Chief Software Officer Bill Gates.  Gates is said to have spent a third of his time on Longhorn and so some part of any blame must be his.  But perhaps it’s a sign of maturity to say that something isn’t going to be ready as planned and not shipping software before it’s ready is a good idea?

  • The Linux vendors, on the other hand, are giddy.  They see this as a two-year window of opportunity in which they can try to expand their market share and enhance Linux while Microsoft regroups.  I doubt that it will be quite that easy.  Of course Linux server sales are doing very well and this may make them do even better.  On the other hand, for Linux desktops to soar, we need more and more integrated software.  We’ll only get that if developers decide that they should move resources away from Microsoft and toward Linux.  It’s too soon to tell if that will be a result of the Longhorn rescheduling.

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