IBM Leads 1st Quarter Good News

In spite of all the moaning and groaning about tough times in technology and nearly flat IT budgets, some vendors are doing pretty well.  For them it seems to be a combination of the right products, good management (including the willingness to cut staff and expenses for non-productive businesses), and expansionary plans.  By that we mean many of these successful vendors have taken advantage of the economic climate to selectively acquire existing businesses, adding their revenue and profits to their own bottom line.

Services And Software Lead At IBM

Let’s start with IBM.  The systems giant succeeded based on significant increases in its software and services businesses.

Software revenue was $3.1 billion for the quarter, an increase of 8%. Sales
of WebSphere and DB2 were especially strong, up 9% over the same quarter
in 2002. The Rational software acquisition also contributed to the good results.
Informix sales declined as customers continued to move to DB2.  

Services had sales of $10.2 billion in the quarter, including new, long-term
contracts for $12 billion, bringing IBM’s services backlog to an impressive 
$113 billion. This includes contributions from the PWC acquisition, where 
110 of 149 PWC customers who had decided to find other service providers
have selected IBM.

The hardware business was a bit softer, with mainframes falling slightly and
overall hardware revenue at $5.8 billion down 1%.  

Although IBM failed to meet its revenue per share projection for this quarter; (it booked 79 cents versus the expected 80 cents), IBM expects to meet Wall Street’s estimate of $4.32 for the year.


Outsourcing Is The Growth Engine At Accenture

IBM wasn’t alone.  Service provider Accenture also reported surprisingly good numbers.  While sales were down 3% to $2.8 billion, profits rose to $118.7 million. 

Much of the revenue growth was in Outsourcing, up 33% to $828 million.  Business consulting was down 15% to $2 billion.  This, of course, is in line with the experience of many firms in the professional services market.

Microsoft Continues To Show Substantial Growth

Microsoft announced 8% revenue growth for revenues of $7.84 billion for the quarter, with operating income up 14% to $3.72 billion and net income at $2.79 billion, up only about 1%.

The next quarter is an important one for the software giant, with lots of big products going into GA (Windows Server 2003, Visual Studio® .NET 2003, Exchange 2003 and Office 2003.  Office income has continued to increase (9% for Information Workers this quarter) and the Beta 2 for 2003 is expected to exceed 600,000 copies. Server platforms (all products) were up 21% for the quarter, which Microsoft believes is driven in part by continuing market movement from UNIX to Windows-based products.

A big source of growth is Microsoft’s new business solution products, led by the acquisition of Navision in 2002 and Microsoft’s new CRM product.  Microsoft anticipates additional products and growth in this sector and is actively seeking to change the ISV business model, convincing these business partners to let Microsoft provide baseline function (much as they provide operating systems and tools) and to have ISV’s provide vertical market function on top.  We expect some larger ISVs may not agree.

Microsoft expects that the next quarter will be about the same size as this one, with somewhat higher operating income, while revenue for the fiscal year is expected to be in the range of $33.1 to $33.8 billion, with operating income of $14.8 to $15.1 billion.   

It’s interesting to note that Microsoft now lists “the availability of competitive products or services such as the Linux operating system at prices below our prices or for no charge” among the factors that could affect its actual performance.   

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