IT Spending For 2003 Looks Slim

In spite of vendors’ hopes that IT spending could start picking up this year, survey results are still less than optimistic.

CIO Magazine’s Tech Poll results for March did indicate that 12 month forward spending plans are now at 6.1% over last year, nearly a 1% increase over February’s 5.2%, but this is biased by the high increases projected by small firms (fewer than 100 employees), averaging 16.2%.  Large firms (more than 1,000 employees) were at a much smaller increase of 1.5%

About one-third of the 252 participants (32.3%) claim they plan to increase spending through the rest of this year and 29% say they have already increased spending.

CIO’s participating in the survey prioritize their increases in spending toward security products/services, storage hardware/ software and computers (desktop/mobile/server).  There was also increased interest in spending for big ticket "infrastructure software" products.

It’s worth noting that this survey was taken during the days just before the Iraqi war started, which may have depressed results a bit.

IDC also released IT growth figures this month.  It believes the economic uncertainty and the Iraqi war will together depress spending for the rest of this year, and has lowered its estimate of IT growth for 2003 from 3.7% to 2.3%, somewhat less in the U.S. than in Europe. 

(Please note that the IDC numbers are for the rest of 2003 and the CIO Survey numbers above are for the 12 months from April 2003 through March 2004, perhaps accounting for the differences.)

However, IDC believes that in 2004, IT spending will rebound in every geography.

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